Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000100 0.000111 0.000124 0.000138 0.000154 0.000172 0.000192
2024-10-27 0.000083 0.000099 0.000117 0.000139 0.000165 0.000195 0.000232
2024-11-03 0.000070 0.000088 0.000109 0.000136 0.000171 0.000213 0.000267
2024-11-10 0.000062 0.000081 0.000106 0.000139 0.000182 0.000237 0.000313
2024-11-17 0.000054 0.000074 0.000100 0.000138 0.000189 0.000256 0.000353
2024-11-24 0.000048 0.000069 0.000097 0.000138 0.000197 0.000277 0.000397
2024-12-01 0.000043 0.000063 0.000092 0.000136 0.000202 0.000294 0.000437
2024-12-08 0.000038 0.000059 0.000088 0.000135 0.000207 0.000312 0.000479
2024-12-15 0.000035 0.000055 0.000086 0.000135 0.000213 0.000331 0.000525
2024-12-22 0.000032 0.000052 0.000083 0.000135 0.000219 0.000351 0.000574
2024-12-29 0.000029 0.000049 0.000081 0.000135 0.000226 0.000372 0.000625
2025-01-05 0.000027 0.000046 0.000078 0.000134 0.000229 0.000387 0.000668
2025-01-12 0.000025 0.000044 0.000076 0.000134 0.000237 0.000411 0.000729
2025-01-19 0.000023 0.000042 0.000075 0.000135 0.000245 0.000436 0.000795
2025-01-26 0.000021 0.000039 0.000072 0.000133 0.000248 0.000452 0.000846
2025-02-02 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000136 0.000259 0.000484 0.000928
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000069 0.000135 0.000263 0.000503 0.000990
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000035 0.000068 0.000135 0.000270 0.000528 0.001064
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000033 0.000066 0.000134 0.000273 0.000546 0.001126
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000031 0.000064 0.000133 0.000277 0.000566 0.001192
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000062 0.000132 0.000282 0.000589 0.001268
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000061 0.000133 0.000289 0.000614 0.001350
2025-03-23 0.000012 0.000028 0.000060 0.000133 0.000295 0.000640 0.001436